Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.955465 2.238311 2.538573 2.880095 3.256783 3.658585 4.118577
2025-02-02 1.476232 1.876151 2.334873 2.895277 3.556505 4.306905 5.217669
2025-02-09 1.133306 1.587838 2.147319 2.875064 3.784241 4.869853 6.250284
2025-02-16 0.877127 1.348086 1.967072 2.818893 3.937413 5.331839 7.174663
2025-02-23 0.717720 1.200274 1.872796 2.844665 4.175639 5.895044 8.239398
2025-03-02 0.578028 1.051295 1.749676 2.806813 4.312066 6.320459 9.136205
2025-03-09 0.487295 0.957291 1.687522 2.838838 4.534042 6.858464 10.193764
2025-03-16 0.404718 0.859843 1.604282 2.825528 4.682181 7.294164 11.123675
2025-03-23 0.362701 0.823304 1.609589 2.941802 5.019633 8.002509 12.449835
2025-03-30 0.322473 0.782124 1.600522 3.031095 5.317343 8.662485 13.728581
2025-04-06 0.269033 0.704932 1.519421 2.993982 5.414889 9.031524 14.602365
2025-04-13 0.235999 0.662222 1.492837 3.042311 5.644529 9.599853 15.778025
2025-04-20 0.204025 0.616772 1.458099 3.077640 5.862024 10.169783 16.994411
2025-04-27 0.177430 0.577971 1.431360 3.124745 6.101803 10.785097 18.303548
2025-05-04 0.149357 0.528771 1.377228 3.116527 6.247323 11.259132 19.416272
2025-05-11 0.122003 0.473755 1.302816 3.062235 6.308543 11.600060 20.334924
2025-05-18 0.105133 0.442592 1.274549 3.092129 6.515012 12.177488 21.632502
2025-05-25 0.086450 0.400135 1.214473 3.052712 6.594036 12.548583 22.616634
2025-06-01 0.074838 0.376010 1.192801 3.087356 6.805771 13.141292 23.962318
2025-06-08 0.062521 0.345089 1.149899 3.073320 6.925585 13.583336 25.078475
2025-06-15 0.057861 0.340377 1.171662 3.197592 7.308668 14.479034 26.945165
2025-06-22 0.052453 0.331004 1.180037 3.292956 7.640517 15.296847 28.704823
2025-06-29 0.042988 0.301139 1.129418 3.253353 7.710408 15.666738 29.742259